as reported by CNBC.
Update 2026-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES immediately if Anthropic is reported to have surpassed OpenAI's valuation at any point during 2026, even if OpenAI later regains a higher valuation by end of year.
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@sama how does this resolve if, say, Anthropic does another funding round at 900 billion, and OpenAI hasn't yet had another funding round but most estimates still place it higher? Does this resolve to the last rounds in 2026 for both? Or just resolves YES instantly upon that scenario?
@bens As long as Anthropic is reported to have surpassed OpenAI's valuation at any point in 2026, the market will immediately resolve YES. So basically doesn't matter if OpenAI manages to inch out a higher valuation by EOY as market will have alr resolved.
@JoshYou they're going to do a private round at $1T in late spring or summer and IPO at $2T around end of year. I've seen it.
@JoshYou that pales in comparison to OpenAI's growth trajectory when they achieve AGI on March 5th, 2026, at 1PM